\figname{\loessm} \topinsert \vbox{ \centerline{\psfig{file=figures/loessm.p,width=3in}} \medskip \figurecaption{\loessm}{The loess smoother first computes the $\lambda$~\% nearest-neighbours to the target point, indicated here by the shaded region. A tricube kernel, centered at the target point, becomes zero exactly at the furthest neighbour. The smooth at the target point is the fitted value from the locally-weighted linear fit.}* } \endinsert